Current Phase
—
Happiness $H_t$
—
Total $\sum C$
—
Joy trace
Reality — locked once drawn
Current forecast (full opacity)
4 prior forecasts — fading
Disappointment ($E > $ reality)
Exceeding (reality $> E$)
What you are watching. Reality (green, in each dimension's color) draws left to right
and locks in. The current forecast (gold dashed) extends from the playhead to age 90.
The four prior forecasts fade behind it. A new forecast is committed every 2.5 years.
The fan of forecasts is the graveyard of imagined futures — what this person believed
about their life, then revised, then revised again.
The running $H_t$ metric is happiness — the expectation gap $\sum_i \lambda_i(i_t - E_t^i)$.
Full joy is $J = A(S_t) + \beta \cdot H_t$, where $\beta$ is Expectation Sensitivity,
a personal parameter not modeled here.
All of these are fiction. Every archetype shown here was constructed to illustrate
how life events shift state variables and rewrite expectations over time. None are calibrated
to actuarial data or empirical studies. The Baseline is the cultural script — what an average
life is supposed to look like. The others are stylized paths designed to make the mechanics visible:
watch what a Series B does to a founder's wealth expectations, or what forced retirement does to an
athlete's sense of purpose. Switch between them and watch what happens to the four dimensions.
You can be anything, but you can't be everything.